President Donald Trump’s approval rating is underwater in 13 of the 31 states he won in the November 2024 presidential election.
According to polling by Civiqs, which has compiled survey responses in all U.S. states throughout the president’s second term, Trump’s approval rating has declined in key states including swing states Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and his home state of Florida. Nevertheless, his approval rating is still positive in 18 of the states he won.
Using this data, Newsweek has created a map highlighting the president’s approval ratings in states he won.
Why It Matters
Trump’s popularity has fluctuated in the first six months of his administration and a few key policy issues, including tariffs and the administration’s handling of sex offender Jeffrey Epstein’s case, have angered some voters. Handling potential splits in his base and securing votes from all states in the nation will be important when voters head to the midterms in November 2026, particularly in swing states Trump won in 2024 where every vote matters.
Flourish
What To Know
According to the polling, Trump’s approval rating is underwater in Arizona, Alaska, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
In areas of the country where Trump still maintains a positive approval rating, his popularity has still slipped. For instance, in Oklahoma, it was +34 percentage points in January but has fallen by 7 points. In Utah, his popularity has declined by 10 percentage points—from a +21 approval rating to +11.
However, it has slightly increased in Georgia. In January, his approval there was -12 points and is now -10 points.
National polls show that Trump’s approval rating is generally underwater. A survey conducted by Quantus Insights from July 21 to July 23 among 1,123 registered voters showed his rating stands at 47 percent, while 50 percent disapprove.
A YouGov survey of 2,104 adults conducted from July 9 to July 13 found that 39 percent approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president while 56 percent disapprove. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent.
One poll showed Trump gaining more traction with Hispanic voters, a crucial demographic that traditionally supports Democratic candidates, while another has suggested the proportion of college-educated voters who approve of the president’s job performance has increased since June.
What People Are Saying
Speaking to Newsweek, Mark Shanahan, who teaches U.S. politics at the University of Surrey in the U.K., said: “The GOP is now so wholly wrapped up in the president’s fortunes that if he continues to poll so poorly over the next 16 months, it’s bound to have an effect on Republican candidates’ fortunes. Not releasing the Epstein files is playing very badly with the MAGA base – not least because when he was on the campaign trail, 47 said repeatedly that he would release them. Now, seemingly because he knows the content, he’s distinctly more circumspect. The longer this saga rumbles on, the more it will nip at the heels of all GOP candidates. If Trump loses the trust of his base, it will mean trouble for his political acolytes. All they currently have going for them is that Democrats remain rudderless and in disarray.”
What Happens Next
Trump’s approval rating is likely to fluctuate as his presidency continues. Whether his popularity declines enough to sink the Republican Party in coming elections remains to be seen.
