Donald Trump’s approval rating is growing among four key demographics, according to a new poll.
The latest Pew Research poll, conducted between June 2-8, shows that Trump’s approval rating has grown since April among older Hispanics and Black voters, Asian women and moderate Republicans.
Why It Matters
Donald Trump made considerable gains with Black, Hispanic and Asian voters in the 2024 election, increasing his share of the vote in all but two states in 2024.
These gains among key voting blocs traditionally aligned with Democrats could reshape the balance of power in Congress and embolden Trump to pursue more aggressive policies with broader public backing.
What To Know
According to the latest polling data, Trump’s approval rating among Hispanics aged 50 and over rose from 31 percent in April to 38 percent in June. Over the same period, disapproval declined from 67 percent to 60 percent, lifting his net approval rating from -36 to -22—a 14-point improvement.
Among Black voters aged 50 and older, Trump has also seen modest gains, though his overall approval remains deeply negative. In April, just 6 percent approved of his performance while 90 percent disapproved, giving him a net approval rating of -84. By June, approval among this group increased to 13 percent and disapproval fell to 85 percent, improving his net approval rating to -72.
Evan Vucci/AP
More dramatic movement came from Asian women, where Trump saw a 6-point boost in approval, climbing from 27 percent in April to 33 percent in June. Disapproval also dropped from 71 percent to 65 percent, shifting his net approval among this group from -44 to -32—a 12-point swing.
Perhaps most significantly, Trump saw a substantial shift among moderate Republicans, whose approval of him rose from 60 percent to 67 percent. Disapproval in that group declined from 38 percent to 32 percent, bringing his net rating from +22 to +35—a 13-point gain in net favorability.
In contrast, Trump’s approval rating has sharply declined across educational lines, with especially steep drops among female voters with some college education or less.
Among female college graduates, Trump’s approval fell significantly from April to June. In April, 28 percent approved of his performance while 70 percent disapproved, resulting in a net approval of -42. By June, approval had dropped to just 15 percent, with disapproval rising to 85 percent—pushing his net approval rating down to -70, a 28-point slide.
The decline is even more dramatic among women with some college education or less. In April, Trump had relatively stronger standing with this group: 42 percent approved of his performance compared to 57 percent who disapproved, yielding a net rating of -15. But by June, only 16 percent approved while 82 percent disapproved, plunging his net approval to -66—a stunning 51-point drop in just two months.
That is a surprising reversal for Trump, who made huge gains among non-college-educated voters in 2024. According to an analysis of data published by Catalist by pollster Nate Silver, voters who didn’t attend college have shifted the most towards Trump since 2012.
The most dramatic shift was observed among nonwhite voters who did not complete college. In 2012, this group contributed a net +11.0 percentage points to the Democrats’ popular vote margin. By 2024, that figure had dropped to just +5.4 points—a net swing of -5.6 points over the 12-year span.
White voters without college degrees, who have traditionally leaned Republican, became even more firmly aligned with the GOP. Their net contribution to Democrats dropped from -9.7 points in 2012 to -11.4 points in 2024, representing a swing of -1.7 points.
Conversely, white college graduates showed a modest but consistent shift toward the Democrats, swinging from a -1.7 point contribution in 2012 to +0.6 in 2024. This 2.3-point swing reflects the party’s growing strength among more educated white voters. Meanwhile, nonwhite college graduates remained relatively stable in their Democratic support, with only a minor -0.4 point shift over the 12-year period.
The Catalist data also found that former Vice President Kamala Harris underperformed Biden’s 2020 margins by 12 points with Latino men, 7 points with Black men, and 4 points with AAPI women. Even among women, where she was expected to excel, Harris failed to exceed Biden’s 2020 margins, and support declined among Latinas and AAPI women.
What Happens Next
Trump’s approval rating across all demographics is likely to fluctuate in the coming weeks.
