President Donald Trump’s approval ratings have dipped underwater in two states he won in the past election, further reducing his national popularity, according to a new poll.
Why It Matters
Trump’s less than six months in office have been highlighted by aggressive federal actions to curb illegal immigration, a flurry of executive orders, economic uncertainty due to enforced tariffs, and now the potential U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict in the Middle East.
What To Know
A Morning Consult survey of voter sentiment towards Trump’s job performance across all 50 states and updated on Wednesday shows his net approval rating above water in 26 states, down from 29 states in May.
The president is newly underwater in Pennsylvania and Iowa, where Trump garnered roughly 50.37 percent and 56 percent of votes in his 2024 election victory against Kamala Harris.
BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images
His numbers have also decreased in Arizona, now a statistical 49-49 percent dead heat.
The results are based on Morning Consult’s daily U.S. tracking survey among registered voters. Margins of error among registered voters vary by state, from as high as +/-6 percentage points in Wyoming to +/-1 point in more populous states like California.
While Trump’s positive net approval rating nationally remains slightly to his advantage, he’s now viewed in a positive light in just three of his seven successful swing states that helped cement his second term: Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina.
Voter sentiment could lend itself towards pivotal gubernatorial races this year, as well as midterm elections in 2026.
Trump’s approval ratings are underwater in Virginia, currently governed by Republican Glenn Youngkin, where 46 percent of voters approve of the president’s job—down one percentage point since last month—and 52 percent disapprove.
Trump’s popularity or lack thereof has remained stagnant in New Jersey, where 44 percent express approval and 53 percent disapprove. Republican Jack Ciattarelli is attempting to flip the state red, facing off against Democratic Representative Mikie Sherrill in the Garden State’s gubernatorial race.
Looking ahead to next year’s races that could sway control in Congress, Trump’s disapproval rating in Maine—home to Republican Senator Susan Collins—dipped two more percentage points since May, now sitting at 59 percent.
The states that approve and disapprove of Trump are Wyoming and Vermont, respectively, where 69 percent of voters approve and 64 percent of voters disapprove.
Trump has touted other surveys in his favor, including a new Insider Advantage poll conducted on June 15-16 among 1,000 likely voters, which put his approval rating at 54 percent, with 44 percent disapproving, giving him a net approval rating of +10 points.
“Great Poll Numbers For Trump!” the president wrote on Truth Social on Wednesday.
What Happens Next
Domestic economics and war overseas could likely cause voter sentiment to fluctuate either in Trump’s favor or against him.
